Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.385504 0.418988 0.455155 0.497319 0.545367 0.598707 0.662808
2025-11-09 0.323632 0.368944 0.421482 0.487689 0.570039 0.670692 0.805605
2025-11-16 0.286711 0.337032 0.398150 0.479360 0.586863 0.728043 0.934348
2025-11-23 0.260871 0.313766 0.380310 0.472460 0.600709 0.779553 1.061435
2025-11-30 0.246626 0.302817 0.375807 0.480851 0.634239 0.861250 1.248244
2025-12-07 0.231401 0.288766 0.365200 0.478684 0.651134 0.919697 1.410759
2025-12-14 0.218487 0.276500 0.355528 0.476156 0.666202 0.976552 1.583874
2025-12-21 0.204508 0.261613 0.340747 0.464188 0.664360 1.004191 1.708609
2025-12-28 0.199000 0.258028 0.341616 0.475682 0.701424 1.105103 2.011605
2026-01-04 0.192707 0.252795 0.339499 0.482015 0.730251 1.196005 2.326030
2026-01-11 0.185551 0.245796 0.334116 0.482361 0.748296 1.269098 2.626924
2026-01-18 0.176737 0.235823 0.323470 0.472927 0.747137 1.302399 2.836809
2026-01-25 0.167809 0.225445 0.311904 0.461578 0.742233 1.329580 3.051769
2026-02-01 0.160144 0.216634 0.302341 0.453018 0.741986 1.368084 3.326421
2026-02-08 0.153352 0.208799 0.293830 0.445535 0.742876 1.409511 3.636868
2026-02-15 0.147369 0.201904 0.286403 0.439325 0.745515 1.455827 3.997178
2026-02-22 0.144559 0.199779 0.286583 0.446876 0.777803 1.584948 4.793676
2026-03-01 0.140145 0.194902 0.281890 0.444927 0.789309 1.662134 5.440154
2026-03-08 0.135977 0.190219 0.277243 0.442652 0.799771 1.739411 6.176687
2026-03-15 0.130587 0.183351 0.268531 0.431875 0.789492 1.753587 6.582245
2026-03-22 0.129164 0.182807 0.270585 0.442225 0.829870 1.934336 8.306842
2026-03-29 0.127033 0.181003 0.270328 0.447923 0.859968 2.093292 10.247729
2026-04-05 0.124168 0.177863 0.267542 0.448234 0.876733 2.213024 12.191670